Korean Stock Survival Guide: The 90% Export + 60% Foreign Ownership Rule
How can you make profits in the Korean market, which suffers from structural problems like the Korea Discount? Today, I'll share survival strategies for Korean stock investing that I've learned through decades of market experience.
🎯 Core Stock Selection Criteria: Two Key Numbers
My principle for Korean stocks is simple:
Export ratio over 90% of revenue + Foreign ownership over 60%
I only invest in companies that meet these two criteria. How many such companies exist in Korea? Less than 10. But they're fixed. Foreign investors only buy these stocks, and when they sell, they only sell these.
Why did I establish these criteria?
- 90% export ratio = Freedom from domestic political and economic risks
- 60% foreign ownership = Pressure for global-standard corporate governance
These companies are relatively free from the chronic problems of the Korean market.
🚢 The One Stock I Recommended for 3 Years
Many people ask me for stock recommendations. I get asked so often that I end up answering, but over the past 3 years, I only recommended one thing:
SOL Shipbuilding TOP 3 ETF
This ETF from Shinhan Asset Management invests in Korea's Big 3 shipbuilders, including HD Hyundai Heavy Industries. Since 2021-2022, right when it launched, I said "Buy this."
🔍 Why Shipbuilding?
There's an interesting story here. I frequently gave lectures related to HD Hyundai Heavy Industries at Gyeongju Hilton or Hyundai Hotels. I watched them training thousands of employees at those hotels.
That's when I felt: "Something has changed at this company."
Later I found out:
- During COVID in 2020, they took many low-price orders so earnings didn't show
- But docks started filling up
- From then on, they only accepted high-value ships
- Even now, with full docks, they're only taking expensive orders
This is the kind of turnaround signal you need to catch.
😅 People Who Don't Listen to Experts
Did I tell maybe 100 people? Not a single one bought it.
Why? People just don't listen to experts. After experiencing this, I rarely recommend stocks anymore. I just say "Sign up for my fund" and move on.
This is reality. Even when good information exists, almost no one acts on it.
📊 If Unsure, Just Buy KODEX 200
If you're not confident picking individual stocks, honestly just buy the KODEX 200 ETF.
In Korea, finding legitimacy, justice, or fairness requires extremely demanding conditions. You really need to choose individual stocks carefully, and if you're not confident, index investing is the right path.
🧭 The Importance of Asset Allocation
Why did I pivot toward asset allocation? I got burned too many times.
Looking at 44 years of Korean market data:
- Annual average returns exceed 7%, which isn't bad
- But the most frequent return is -10%
- Loss probability is nearly 45%
Going all-in on this market is gambling. Diversifying across Korea, US, developed markets, emerging markets, bonds, and gold is wise.
💡 Summary: Korean Stock Investment Checklist
- ✅ Verify export ratio over 90%
- ✅ Verify foreign ownership over 60%
- ✅ Catch turnaround signals (dock utilization, order backlog, etc.)
- ✅ If unsure, go with KODEX 200
- ✅ Don't go all-in on Korea—diversify globally
The Korean market is structurally challenging. But if you follow these principles, you can survive. Don't have excessive hope—approach it with cold objectivity.