Discover the stories behind complex numbers and build your own investment philosophy.
Explore InsightsCPI at 4.2%, Third Straight Rise — So Why Did Markets Exhale?
US year-over-year inflation rose for a third consecutive month to 4.2%. A year ago it had fallen as low as 2.3%, near the Fed's target. Yet stocks popped slightly. The subtle but crucial detail: it came in line with expectations.
What Snapchat Taught Me About the SpaceX IPO
Across the last 15 years, 30 major IPOs posted an average one-year drawdown of roughly 55%. CoreWeave, up 300% in three months, is on that same list. Ahead of the SpaceX IPO, here's what tends to wait behind a glamorous debut — told through Snapchat.
The Largest IPO Ever: SpaceX Goes Public — and the Question of Fast-Tracking Unprofitable Giants Into the Nasdaq
SpaceX went public in the largest IPO in history, swinging more than 10% in its first five minutes of trading, with Nasdaq index inclusion fast-tracked within 15 days. Here's what rushing unprofitable mega-caps into the index really means.
What the Iran Crisis Left Behind: The Signals From the Dollar, Yields, and Precious Metals
Stocks keep drifting higher, but the dollar, oil, bond yields, and precious metals are telling a completely different story. Here are the five market signals showing how Iran-driven uncertainty flipped Fed rate-cut hopes into hike expectations.
When Does Bitcoin Come Back? The Real Reasons Behind the 50% Drop — and the Dollar-Bull Thesis
Bitcoin is down nearly 50% on the year while space and semiconductor stocks go wild around it. Here's what would have to change for crypto to turn, plus the dollar-strength logic that keeps me bearish on both precious metals and crypto.
Friday's Plunge: A Dip to Buy or the Setup for a Black Monday?
Across 199 historical cases where the S&P 500 fell 2% or more in a single day, average forward returns were actually positive. I weigh the stats and the put-call signal to ask whether this drop is a buy or the start of something worse.
Why the Dollar Is Strengthening Again: My Full Forex Book
The dollar index is defending 99.75 and eyeing 100.5, then 102. I break down my actual positions — a UUP long sitting around $4,000 in gains, short pound, short euro, and a yen long setup — alongside their fundamental scores.
What Snapchat Taught Me About the SpaceX IPO
Across the last 15 years, 30 major IPOs posted an average one-year drawdown of roughly 55%. CoreWeave, up 300% in three months, is on that same list. Ahead of the SpaceX IPO, here's what tends to wait behind a glamorous debut — told through Snapchat.
When Does Bitcoin Come Back? The Real Reasons Behind the 50% Drop — and the Dollar-Bull Thesis
Bitcoin is down nearly 50% on the year while space and semiconductor stocks go wild around it. Here's what would have to change for crypto to turn, plus the dollar-strength logic that keeps me bearish on both precious metals and crypto.
Friday's Plunge: A Dip to Buy or the Setup for a Black Monday?
Across 199 historical cases where the S&P 500 fell 2% or more in a single day, average forward returns were actually positive. I weigh the stats and the put-call signal to ask whether this drop is a buy or the start of something worse.
Why the Dollar Is Strengthening Again: My Full Forex Book
The dollar index is defending 99.75 and eyeing 100.5, then 102. I break down my actual positions — a UUP long sitting around $4,000 in gains, short pound, short euro, and a yen long setup — alongside their fundamental scores.
CPI at 4.2%, Third Straight Rise — So Why Did Markets Exhale?
US year-over-year inflation rose for a third consecutive month to 4.2%. A year ago it had fallen as low as 2.3%, near the Fed's target. Yet stocks popped slightly. The subtle but crucial detail: it came in line with expectations.
What the Iran Crisis Left Behind: The Signals From the Dollar, Yields, and Precious Metals
Stocks keep drifting higher, but the dollar, oil, bond yields, and precious metals are telling a completely different story. Here are the five market signals showing how Iran-driven uncertainty flipped Fed rate-cut hopes into hike expectations.
When Does Bitcoin Come Back? The Real Reasons Behind the 50% Drop — and the Dollar-Bull Thesis
Bitcoin is down nearly 50% on the year while space and semiconductor stocks go wild around it. Here's what would have to change for crypto to turn, plus the dollar-strength logic that keeps me bearish on both precious metals and crypto.
CPI at 4.2%, Third Straight Rise — So Why Did Markets Exhale?
US year-over-year inflation rose for a third consecutive month to 4.2%. A year ago it had fallen as low as 2.3%, near the Fed's target. Yet stocks popped slightly. The subtle but crucial detail: it came in line with expectations.
What Snapchat Taught Me About the SpaceX IPO
Across the last 15 years, 30 major IPOs posted an average one-year drawdown of roughly 55%. CoreWeave, up 300% in three months, is on that same list. Ahead of the SpaceX IPO, here's what tends to wait behind a glamorous debut — told through Snapchat.
The Largest IPO Ever: SpaceX Goes Public — and the Question of Fast-Tracking Unprofitable Giants Into the Nasdaq
SpaceX went public in the largest IPO in history, swinging more than 10% in its first five minutes of trading, with Nasdaq index inclusion fast-tracked within 15 days. Here's what rushing unprofitable mega-caps into the index really means.
What the Iran Crisis Left Behind: The Signals From the Dollar, Yields, and Precious Metals
Stocks keep drifting higher, but the dollar, oil, bond yields, and precious metals are telling a completely different story. Here are the five market signals showing how Iran-driven uncertainty flipped Fed rate-cut hopes into hike expectations.
The Largest IPO Ever: SpaceX Goes Public — and the Question of Fast-Tracking Unprofitable Giants Into the Nasdaq
SpaceX went public in the largest IPO in history, swinging more than 10% in its first five minutes of trading, with Nasdaq index inclusion fast-tracked within 15 days. Here's what rushing unprofitable mega-caps into the index really means.
Are the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs 50% Overvalued? Why I'm Wary of Hype Already Pumped in Private Markets
Some commentators say the SpaceX IPO is nearly 50% overvalued. My take: don't chase it. Meta (then Facebook) traded much lower a year after its glamorous IPO, and the hype usually peaks before the listing. I see more downside than upside risk across SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic.
Main Street Capital at a 52-Week Low: An 8.7% Dividend Machine That Has Never Cut
At $49.63 versus a 52-week low of $48.95, this BDC sits barely a dollar off the bottom. It has never reduced its monthly dividend since its 2007 IPO. Here's why the 8.7% yield and 18 straight years of hikes matter.
When Housing Froze: Why Home Depot, Lowe's, and Sherwin-Williams Are All at 52-Week Lows
Amid what management calls the worst housing market since the financial crisis, Home Depot, Lowe's, and Sherwin-Williams all sit at 52-week lows. I compare their earnings, dividends, and buyback strategies to sort the income plays from the total-return play.