Complete Tech Stock Analysis for Late 2025: From Nvidia to Tesla
đ Where Are Tech Stocks Heading at the End of 2025?
As we approach year-end, you're probably wondering how the tech stocks in your portfolio are doing. Today, we'll analyze the charts of major tech stocks one by one, examining each stock's current position and future outlook.
đ What Is the 50-Day Moving Average?
Before diving into the analysis, let me briefly explain the 50-day moving average that we'll reference frequently.
The 50-day moving average connects the average closing prices of the last 50 days. When the stock price is above this line, it suggests a short-term uptrend; below it suggests a downtrend.
The slope of this line is also important:
- đ Upward slope: Bullish signal
- đ Downward slope: Bearish warning
- âĄī¸ Flat: Searching for direction
đ Nvidia: Holding the AI Throne
Current Status: Above 50-day MA, sideways since August
Nvidia is in quite an interesting position right now.
Positive Signs â
- Stable above the 50-day moving average
- Previous generation Hopper chips still generate more revenue than any other chip company
- Lead over competitors is so large it's hard to catch up
Watch Out For â ī¸
- Sideways movement since August (no big ups or downs)
đĄ Expert Opinion
"The longer the sideways action, the bigger the potential breakout."
You could view sideways movement as "boring," but it can also mean energy is building up. Given Nvidia's fundamentals, there are no bad signals yet.
đĄ AMD: Warning Lights Are On
Current Status: Below 50-day MA, moving average declining
AMD investors, some caution is needed.
Problems â
- Trading below the 50-day moving average
- Moving average went up then turned down (warning signal!)
- No momentum, moving sideways
Silver Lining â
- Still holding the gap-up zone
- "Stagnation" rather than complete collapse
đĄ Key Advice
"Don't marry your stocks. Marry your spouse, look after your family. Stocks come and go."
Emotional attachment to specific stocks makes objective judgment difficult. If the chart doesn't look good, it might be time to look for better opportunities.
đ Google: The Exciting Beast of the Year
Current Status: Above 50-day MA, bouncing off lower channel
Google currently has one of the most attractive valuations among tech stocks.
Positive Signs â
- Stable above the 50-day moving average
- Bounces every time it touches the lower channel
- Almost no overhead resistance (hardly anyone has lost money on this stock)
- AI search functionality working better than expected
Will AI Replace Search? đ¤
Many worry that "AI will replace Google search," but Google's market dominance remains overwhelming. Plus, Google's own AI is evolving very rapidly.
đĄ Chart Analysis
"It just looks continuously bullish and bullish and bullish."
đĄ Amazon: Frustrating Sideways Action
Current Status: Sideways at August levels, similar to late 2024/early 2025
It's a frustrating time for Amazon investors.
Reality Check đ
- Stock barely moved since August
- Looking broader, it's at similar levels to late 2024
But From a Valuation Perspective? đ°
- Improved profitability â
- Increased subscribers â
- Expanded cloud computing market share â
- Billions more in revenue â
đĄ Conclusion
"If fundamentals improved but the stock price stayed flat, it could be attractive from a valuation perspective."
Amazon may fall into the "undervalued big tech" category.
đĄ Meta: Read the Pattern
Current Status: Signs of recovery after decline, observation needed
Meta shows a clear pattern.
Meta's Pattern đ
Up â Sideways â Down â Up â Sideways â Down...
Currently appears to be starting recovery after a decline.
Buy Now? â
Not yet. Here's why:
- Often looks like a breakout then drops again
- 50-day moving average still declining
When to Enter? â
- When the 50-day MA flattens and turns upward
- When volume support is confirmed
- When it clearly breaks through upper resistance
đĄ Advertising Business Strength
"It's such a brilliant advertising business. Worth waiting for."
đ Tesla: Strong Rally Underway
Current Status: Well above 50-day MA, strong rally in progress
Tesla is showing the strongest performance right now.
Positive Signs â
- Significantly above the 50-day moving average
- Strong rally underway
- Consolidating with high volume
Where's the Resistance? đ
Resistance line calculated from options position data: $500 Current price: ~$470
â About $30 upside potential (to resistance)
đĄ Institutional Trading Trends
"Through options positions, we can see where institutions are potentially buying and selling."
â Oracle: A Dangerous Gamble
Current Status: Plunging, high-debt company risk
Oracle is the stock to be most careful about right now.
Why Is It Risky? â ī¸
- Carrying massive debt
- Betting everything on the AI boom
- If AI disappoints, the stock could keep falling
Never Do This â
"Don't buy a stock because it looks cheap. Cheap-looking stocks can get even cheaper."
Look at Plug Power. Investors who bought because it "looked cheap" are down 95%, 98%.
đĄ Conclusion
Stay on the sidelines with Oracle until clear rebound signals emerge.
đ Palantir: Healthy Zigzag
Current Status: Attempting to break upper range
Palantir shows a pretty healthy chart pattern.
Characteristics â
- Beautiful zigzag pattern
- Moving within similar range
- Broke upper range mid-last week
Next Step đ
Needs to break last week's highs again for further upside
Summary Table
| Stock | Status | 50-day MA | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nvidia | đ | Above | Sideways, awaiting breakout |
| AMD | đĄ | Below | Warning signals, watch |
| đ | Above | Most attractive | |
| Amazon | đĄ | Neutral | Potentially undervalued |
| Meta | đĄ | Below | Signs of recovery, watch |
| Tesla | đ | Well above | Strongest momentum |
| Oracle | â | Below | Risky, avoid |
| Palantir | đ | Above | Healthy pattern |
đ¯ Key Investment Principles
Core principles to remember from today's analysis:
- Don't marry your stocks - Remove emotion and read the charts
- Don't buy cheap stocks - Cheap-looking can get cheaper
- Check the 50-day moving average - Simple but powerful indicator
- Don't ignore volume - Volume tells the truth more than price
- Set automated stop-losses - Prevents emotional decisions
Investing is a marathon. Stick to your principles and move forward steadily to avoid losing everything from one bad decision! đ