The Core of Value Investing: A 33-Stock Strategy of Buying Only When Price Diverges from Value
The Core of Value Investing: A 33-Stock Strategy of Buying Only When Price Diverges from Value
đ¯ What "Stocks I Want to Own Forever" Really Means
Earlier this year, an investor revealed a list of over 30 stocks they want to own forever. The important thing is these aren't hype stocks or story stocks. They're real businesses that make real money, companies with long-proven track records.
When someone asks, "If you had to choose just one?" â that's incredibly tough. Because going all-in on a single stock isn't investing, it's speculating. The real investment process is simple:
Build a basket of great companies and buy them when their price falls below the value you've assigned to them.
Some will outperform, some won't. But over time, buying at the right price means that as value comes into play and price meets value, you can hopefully outperform the market.
đ The Full 33-Stock List
The entire premise of this list is straightforward: I'd love to own these companies forever, but I will only buy them when price is disconnected from value. When price and value are aligned, I wait. Patiently.
Group 1: Tech & Financial Giants
- Microsoft â Cloud and AI powerhouse
- Google (Alphabet) â Search and advertising dominance
- Meta â Social media ecosystem
- Apple â Premium ecosystem and growing services
- Alibaba â Chinese e-commerce and cloud
- American Express â Premium payment network
- Berkshire Hathaway â Warren Buffett's conglomerate
- Visa â Global payment infrastructure
- Mastercard â Global payment network
Group 2: Consumer & Retail
- Home Depot â Home improvement leader
- Lowe's â Home improvement #2
- McDonald's â Global franchise king
- Disney â Entertainment empire
- Costco â Membership-based warehouse
- Target â Major US retail chain
- TJ Maxx â Off-price retail champion
- Sprouts â Health food specialty grocer
Group 3: Lifestyle & Luxury
- Nike â Global sports brand #1
- Ferrari â Ultra-premium automobiles
- Louis Vuitton (LVMH) â Luxury icon
- Starbucks â Global coffee chain
Group 4: Software & Services
- Adobe â Creative software standard
- Intuit â Tax and accounting software monopoly
- T. Rowe Price â Asset management
Group 5: Industrials & Consumer Staples
- Sherwin Williams â Paint industry dominance
- Generac â Emergency generator market leader
- Otis â Elevators and escalators
- Brookfield Asset Management â Infrastructure asset management
- Cintas â Uniforms and facility services
- Southwest Airlines â Low-cost airline leader
- Johnson & Johnson â Healthcare giant
- Hershey â Chocolate and confections
- Procter & Gamble â Consumer goods king
That's 33 businesses total, with 13 currently owned.
đ How to Find Value: The 10-Year Analysis Process
The core question in value investing never changes: Price relative to value.
The Analysis Process
-
Run a full 10-year analysis using a stock analyzer tool
-
Set future assumptions for key metrics:
- Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
- Free Cash Flow Ratio
- Profit Margin
- Revenue Growth
-
Apply a margin of safety: If you truly expect 10% growth, plug in 8%. This margin of safety ensures you're not buying based on best-case scenarios alone.
đ¨ This Is an Art, Not a Science
Because we use lots of numbers, people think, "It's numbers, so it must be exact." That's simply not true. Your assumptions will differ from mine, and that's perfectly fine.
The key is learning the process. Don't buy a stock because someone else owns it. Even if Warren Buffett owns it, that's not a reason for you to. Get ideas from others, but always do your own research.
We're not here to give you a fish. We're teaching you how to fish.
đ¯ Narrowing the Candidates: Stocks Worth Watching Now
Based on price relative to value, here are the standout candidates right now:
| Stock | Why It's Interesting |
|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | Major pullback on airline sector fear |
| Adobe | Massive drop from AI fear, strong fundamentals |
| Nike | Undervalued relative to brand power |
| Sprouts | Health food trend beneficiary |
| Target | Beaten down on consumer slowdown fears |
| Intuit | Monopolistic position in accounting software |
Each of these, based on conservative assumptions, is trading at a level that at least gets immediate attention. The market has pulled them back enough to warrant deeper analysis.
Additional Watchlist Stocks
From live streams and video analyses:
- Meta â Prices starting to get interesting
- Alibaba â Discounted for China risk
- American Express â Reflecting premium spending slowdown
- Visa â Starting to come down in price
And here's the best part: We haven't even had a bear market yet. In a real bear market, these stocks could fall further. And that's when the biggest opportunities emerge.
đĄ Key Takeaways
This is a journey. It's about showing the process of how to filter, how to eliminate, and how to compare opportunity versus risk.
- Invest, don't speculate
- Don't chase price movements
- Focus on price relative to value
- Always maintain a margin of safety
- Use a basket approach to diversify risk
Value investing is a game of patience. Recognizing great businesses and waiting for the right price â that's the most reliable path to beating the market. đą
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